On the floor of just about any
automotive manufacturing company, employees are collecting data and
recording that data on a chart every hour as part of a program called
Statistical Process Control (SPC) and once or twice a day, a floor
supervisor checks those recordings for reliability and accuracy and
once a day they are given to the Quality Department inspect for
trends.
If any hourly measurement goes outside of what are called
control limits, the process is immediately checked to determine what
went wrong and whatever did happen, can be eliminated to the point
that it never returns again.
Using acceptable standards for
statistical interpretation, a supervisor can detect immediately if
and when an employee is providing inaccurate data simply by counting
the number of dots that have been recorded within a space and if it
exceeds what statistically should be there, then the data has been
recorded inaccurately.
And, while this process of checking
quality is accurate for the manufacturing industries and some non
manufacturing industries, what about the accuracy of verbal comments
when it comes to measuring customer satisfaction?
For example, when questioned about
their experience at a restaurant, customers reply that the experience
was fine or acceptable when in fact it was not because they do not
want to take the time to explain why nor do they want to get anyone
fired... so, they provide the researcher with a misleading answer.
And, just because we have nothing
better to do at the moment, let's suppose that these kinds of
inaccurate statements are being collected by researchers all over
America in a variety of questionnaires about a variety of
situations... like a collective consciousness... although, how
would you ever prove something like that?
Well...
How many Americans do you think fudge
data on their income taxes each year?
How many Americans do you think exceed
the speed limits when driving a vehicle?
How many Americans talk or text on
their cell phones while driving a vehicle?
How many Americans steal pens and paper
from work or us the copy machine for personal use?
There is a collective consciousness in
American and all over the world, in fact, where people do similar
things or say similar things without ever having discussed the issue
and decided that they should act this or that way. Or, maybe it is
just predictable human behavior given a variety of situations and
stimuli. Or, maybe it is because of something else that we just
cannot prove right now.
So, when marriages fail, can we really
say for certain that the reason for that failure as articulated by
both parties is accurate?
When a student drops out of college and
is asked the reason for his/her leaving can we really say for certain
that the reason given to us is really accurate?
These types of questions can be applied
to literally thousands of research projects where data is being
collected from which conclusions are being drawn as to why people do
what they do, given a set of circumstances. And, these questions
are asked in many different ways in the hopes of ruling out false
data so that only accurate data is left and this is not doubt
accomplished through various correlations of the data... and,
providing those correlations are accurate, then one might be able to
assume that the data collected is accurate and the assumptions
extrapolated as well are accurate in a relative way.
In the Hawthorne Experiment,
researchers were convinced that productivity was increasing due to
changes in light levels because the workers had collectively
concluded that management was paying attention to them in a positive
way, hence changing the light... Therefore, in business schools,
this scenario is shared with business students as proof that when
management pays attention to the worker that output improves...
But, what if these results were
misleading.... for instance, when anyone or everyone is driving on
interstate highways, most everyone exceeds the speed limit and yet,
then there is a highway patrolman present everyone seems to obey the
speed limit... so, is this just another example of management being
present? Or, is it an example of fear being induced into the
situation with the outcome being a speeding ticket.
The Hawthorne Experiment could mean
nothing more than the workers being induced with fear of losing their
jobs since the lights had changed, they knew with reasonable
certainty but not absolute that management was watching them....
and, when the light levels kept changing, then it was pretty much
certain that management was watching them... and, they had no
reason to believe otherwise or that an experiment was being
conducted.
Therefore, the data collected is
meaningful or meaningless?
Simply because PhDs collect data,
perform research, analyze data, and draw conclusions so that they can
write books or support dissertations, that we, the reader, should
simply validate their conclusions once we consider the source...
and, do all of our opinion have to be supported by what others think
or by a preponderance of the data?
I teach a certain way in a classroom
and get a fairly positive response from one or two out of 30 and so I
must conclude that what I just did in class should never be done
again because of the data that I just collected? Or, lets suppose I
collected this same data in this same class every time it met for 15
weeks, do I now throw out that teaching technique because it did not
work in this particular class? Or, do I need to keep collecting
data for 10 years but on just this class or on all my classes...
and, should I think about collecting data at other schools... and
if so, from how many other schools? And, can other people collect
data for me... or has that data collection got to be done by me to
insure accuracy, reliability, and consistency?
When do I know that my data is
meaningful or meaningless?
The United States currently has a
divorce rate of 50% and some say our divorce rate is between 40-50%
and some say is not even close to that number that it is more like
10%... and, if we look into the Baptist Bible Belt in the Southern
US, we also find the same type of data: 50% or 40-50% or less than
10%... We have also (or at least some of us) read data that
indicates that 4 out of 5 married males and 3 out of 5 married
females have admitted to have extramarital affairs during their
marriage. Of course, some of the males and/or females could be lying
to boost their own egos.
How do we measure the happiness level
that exists inside a marriage when there is no threat of divorce
taking place? And, if by chance that happiness level is low... is
that good or bad? If that happiness level is high... is that good
or bad?
I cannot speak for all marriages but my
parents were married for 50+ years before my father died and what I
observed between those two partners on a regular basis was less than
positive and this was also seen by my brother and sister as well.
Our father drank too much alcohol and chased too many women but there
is no direct evidence to support an affair... although, he and
bridesmaid were discovered nude in a coat closet during a wedding
reception once. Our father talked down to our mother and ridiculed
her all the time while at the same time wanted us to show her
respect. Our mother and father took separate vacations after the 3
of us graduated from high school. Late night conversations were
heard between our father and mother regarding his adultery and
several times our mother told us that the two of them were separating
but that never happened.
Our dad had a favorite saying: “If
you act like you are doing nothing wrong, most people will think you
are doing nothing wrong.”
I realize that this is limited evidence
and that the two primary parties in question were never interviewed
but is it possible for one to conclude that this was not a happy
marriage and yet the marriage remain intact for whatever reason(s).
I would have to say that 80-90% of the
people with whom I attended high school have shared similar stories
with me about their parents. But again, is this sufficient data on
which to make the statement that we now have meaningful data?
Can we conclude that meaningful data
can only be based upon the statistical random but systematic
collection of raw data? If so, then what does our divorce rate
conclude about those couple that have decided to remain together?
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